Both teams are in good form, so we expect this to be an entertaining contest.
However, Cincinnati are yet to drop points at home, so we think they will make home advantage count and emerge triumphant.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.
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