Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.11) 
