SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong PSV |
43.35% ( -0.09) | 23.73% ( -0.01) | 32.91% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.48% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.07) | 40.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0.07) | 62.83% ( -0.07) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -0.01) | 18.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.02) | 50.48% ( 0.01) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.09) | 24.13% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.56% ( 0.13) | 58.43% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.91% |
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