SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Basel |
48.85% ( -0.54) | 22.43% ( 0.13) | 28.72% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 63.87% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.36) | 36.3% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.57% ( -0.39) | 58.43% ( 0.39) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% ( -0.32) | 15.24% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.09% ( -0.6) | 43.9% ( 0.6) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.08) | 24.64% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( 0.11) | 59.16% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.08% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.72% |
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