Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	Lugano
45.97% ( -1.34)	24.41% ( 0.1)	29.62% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

0.27)

45.05% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

0.26)

67.4% (

-0.26)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.45)

19.72% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26% (

-0.74)

51.73% (

0.75)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

1.01)

28.46% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

1.25)

64.23% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 45.97%

Lugano 29.62%

Draw 24.41%

FC Zurich	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.97%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.62%