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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Dec 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
G

Fenerbahce
0 - 0
Galatasaray


Osayi-Samuel (12'), Kahveci (57'), King (72')
FT

Torreira (64'), Boey (73'), Ziyech (85'), Akturkoglu (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kayserispor 3-4 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, December 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-3 Galatasaray

With absolutely nothing to separate the sides points-wise in the league table, calling the winner in this enticing encounter is a thankless task. Wednesday's high-scoring win took Fener's goal tally to 78 in just 28 matches this season, and Gala have been noted for their open, expansive style of play too, so this could be a fixture for the ages, even if it ends level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.57%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
55.57% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 20.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 67.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.01% (0.048999999999992 0.05)29.99% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)51.17% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.98% (0.037000000000006 0.04)11.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.68% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.31% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.4% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.82% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 55.57%
    Galatasaray 24.12%
    Draw 20.3%
FenerbahceDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 55.57%
1-1 @ 8.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kayserispor 3-4 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, December 20 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-1 Sivasspor
Monday, December 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 6-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-1 Adana Demirspor
Friday, December 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Pendikspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Galatasaray 4-0 Alanyaspor
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig


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