SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 79.08%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.92%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
79.08% ( -3.81) | 13.58% ( 2.23) | 7.33% ( 1.58) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.34% ( -4.79) | 34.66% ( 4.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.39% ( -5.57) | 56.6% ( 5.57) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.05% ( -1.68) | 6.95% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.52% ( -4.7) | 25.47% ( 4.7) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.23% ( 0.93) | 49.76% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.5% ( 0.64) | 84.49% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.43)1-0 @ 9.22% ( 1.36)2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 7.29% ( -1.07)4-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.59)5-0 @ 3.89% ( -1.03)5-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.15)6-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.69)6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.43)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.15% Total : 79.07% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 1.09) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.79)2-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.58% | 0-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.43)Other @ 2.68% Total : 7.34% |
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