While Galatasaray have parted ways with several first-team players over the summer, they still have plenty of quality in their ranks and are heavily fancied to progress in this tie. The hosts will likely try to keep this one level for as long as possible, but we fancy the visitors to secure the victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0) 
