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F
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 21, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
B

Flamengo
2 - 1
Bahia

Gerson (23'), Luiz (90+4')
Ortiz (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stum (35')
Lucas (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Bahia

This is shaping up to be a tricky encounter based on current form. However, despite their good spell, Bahia have not managed to win more than once away from home. Flamengo, on the other hand, have shown some vulnerability at home this season. For these reasons, we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
64.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 20.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 14.83% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)67.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)79.23% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 64.69%
    Bahia 14.83%
    Draw 20.47%
FlamengoDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.69%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Gremio
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 1-6 Flamengo
Sunday, June 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Millonarios
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Amazonas 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, May 23 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Bolivar
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza
Friday, June 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 0-2 Bahia
Thursday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Bragantino
Sunday, May 12 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Bahia
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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