Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
