Relegation is a distinct possibility for Fluminense at the moment, which should raise their urgency level down the stretch of the season. Fortaleza are a different team away from home, particularly on the back end, and we believe Flu will be able to expose that flaw on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
53.71% ( -0.07)	25.09% ( 0.18)	21.2% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.44% (

-0.81)

54.56% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.09% (

-0.68)

75.91% (

0.68)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

-0.35)

20.3% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

-0.56)

52.67% (

0.56)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28% (

-0.58)

40.71% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7% (

-0.53)

77.3% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 53.69%

Fortaleza 21.2%

Draw 25.09%

Fluminense	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.17% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.69%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.2%