Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
0.8) 
-0.41) 
