SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | LDU Quito |
61.01% ( 1.28) | 22.21% ( -0.57) | 16.78% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 1.18) | 49.17% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 1.06) | 71.24% ( -1.06) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( 0.84) | 15.65% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% ( 1.53) | 44.68% ( -1.53) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.18) | 42.61% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( -0.16) | 78.96% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fluminense | Draw | LDU Quito |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.78% |
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