They have done it before and there is no reason to suggest that Sao Paulo cannot turn the tables in their favour once again come Thursday. While we expect a close match, we also believe that as the pressure begins to mount the experience of the Brazilians in these situations will give them a psychological edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.55%).

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	LDU Quito
57.21% ( -0.65)	23.74% ( 0.23)	19.05% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.05% (

-0.36)

51.95% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

-0.31)

73.69% (

0.31)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.37)

17.96% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-0.63)

48.79% (

0.63)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

0.27)

41.54% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

0.23)

78.03% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 57.19%

LDU Quito 19.05%

Draw 23.74%

Sao Paulo	Draw	LDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.19%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.74%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.05%