Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
