Frosinone have lost four of their last five on home turf, but Lecce are winless on their travels this season, losing eight of 13 road matches, thus making Sunday's game tricky to predict.
However, the home side's six wins from 13 games at Stadio Benito Stirpe mean they have a higher chance than Lecce of claiming maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.29) 
