Torino's low-scoring nature and tendency to keep clean sheets at home points to another marginal triumph over an opponent that cannot buy road wins this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
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