Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
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