SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Fulham win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
36.76% ( -0.14) | 23.95% ( 0.04) | 39.29% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.61% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.33% ( -0.2) | 40.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.2) | 63.05% ( 0.2) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0.16) | 22.13% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( -0.24) | 55.51% ( 0.24) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( -0.04) | 20.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% ( -0.06) | 53.59% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.29% |
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