Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
63.36% ( 0.96)	19.87% ( -0.15)	16.77% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08% (

-0.8)

38.91% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77% (

-0.85)

61.22% (

0.84)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31% (

0.02)

11.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.22% (

0.05)

36.77% (

-0.05)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55% (

-1.43)

36.44% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

-1.47)

73.23% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 63.36%

Fulham 16.77%

Draw 19.87%

Aston Villa	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.06% Total : 63.36%	1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.87%	1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.77%