Molde have not let a first-leg deficit extinguish their Champions League dreams so far this summer, but demoting Galatasaray to Europa League football in Istanbul is surely a pipe dream for Moe's men.
With the tough-tackling Torreira back in the fold and Ziyech potentially being given the chance to make an early mark at Rams Park, the hosts should revert to type defensively and flaunt their enviable offensive talent to punch their ticket to the group stage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Molde had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Galatasaray.
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