SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Samsunspor |
59.69% ( -0.04) | 20.63% ( 0.02) | 19.68% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.46% ( -0.04) | 37.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.23% ( -0.05) | 59.76% ( 0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.72% ( -0.03) | 12.28% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.97% ( -0.05) | 38.03% ( 0.05) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0) | 69.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.77% 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 4.05% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 19.68% |
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