Genoa have made Marassi a tough place to visit since gaining promotion, losing just twice in 11 league games at their Ligurian stronghold this season. Such resilience can bring Atalanta's winning run to an end, as both sides walk away with one point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.08) 
