Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 76.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
