Liguria will come to a standstill for 90 minutes on Wednesday evening, as the latest Derby della Lanterna plays out - but only Genoa fans will be celebrating at the final whistle.
The Grifone can afford to make changes and still overcome a Samp side lacking confidence and more concerned with resurrecting their ailing league campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.26) 
