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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Baba Yara Stadium
CA

Ghana
4 - 3
CAR

Ayew (6' pen., 60', 69'), Fatawu (62')
Deen Sulemana (63'), Salisu (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mafouta (11', 41', 90')
Namnganda (45+1'), Solet Bomawoko (56'), Pirioua (72'), Mafouta (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ghana
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: CAR 1-0 Chad
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Ghana 1-0 Central African Republic

Ghana's win in their last match and the manner it happened is one that can serve as a turning point. The hosts have way more quality compared to the visitors and it's all about if they play well as a team. We think that the Black Stars will edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 8.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
GhanaDrawCentral African Republic
75.01% (0.129 0.13) 16.86% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 8.14% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 38.87% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (-0.393 -0.39)47.29% (0.39599999999999 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (-0.365 -0.36)69.52% (0.369 0.37)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.05% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)10.95% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.83% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)35.17% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.65% (-0.556 -0.56)56.35% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.33% (-0.32 -0.32)88.67% (0.32300000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Ghana 74.99%
    Central African Republic 8.14%
    Draw 16.86%
GhanaDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 15.09% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 11.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 6.15% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 74.99%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 16.86%
0-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 8.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ghana
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Ghana
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mozambique 2-2 Ghana
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-2 Ghana
Thursday, January 18 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ghana 1-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, January 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: CAR 1-0 Chad
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: CAR 4-0 P. New Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: CAR 6-0 Bhutan
Friday, March 22 at 9.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-1 CAR
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Comoros 4-2 CAR
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Ghana 2-1 CAR
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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