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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
34.17% ( 0.04) | 25.88% ( -0) | 39.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.12% ( 0.02) | 49.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% ( 0.01) | 71.87% ( -0.02) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( 0.03) | 27.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0.04) | 63.51% ( -0.04) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( -0.01) | 24.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.89% ( -0.02) | 59.11% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.95% |
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