SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Goias had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Goias |
41.78% ( -0.02) | 28.41% ( 0.11) | 29.81% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.32% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.28% ( -0.41) | 60.72% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% ( -0.31) | 80.78% ( 0.31) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.34% ( -0.2) | 28.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( -0.26) | 64.48% ( 0.26) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( -0.29) | 36.47% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% ( -0.3) | 73.26% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 41.77% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.81% |
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