SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Instituto |
45.89% ( -0.02) | 28.3% ( 0) | 25.81% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.92% ( 0.01) | 62.08% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.21% ( 0) | 81.79% ( -0) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0) | 27.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -0.01) | 62.51% ( 0.01) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.02) | 40.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.84% ( 0.02) | 77.16% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.45% 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 11% 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.81% |
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