SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.61%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41.25% ( -0.11) | 30.57% ( -0.02) | 28.18% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 39.24% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.17% ( 0.09) | 67.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.18% ( 0.06) | 85.82% ( -0.06) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.02) | 32.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( -0.02) | 69.1% ( 0.02) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( 0.17) | 41.81% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( 0.14) | 78.27% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.24% | 0-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.57% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.18% Total : 28.18% |
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