SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.52%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Gimnasia |
55.55% ( -0.39) | 27.23% ( 0.2) | 17.22% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 36.51% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.43% ( -0.35) | 65.57% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.71% ( -0.25) | 84.29% ( 0.24) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.85% ( -0.33) | 24.15% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.54% ( -0.47) | 58.46% ( 0.47) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.13% ( 0.03) | 51.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.08% ( 0.02) | 85.91% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 17.79% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 55.54% | 0-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.22% |
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