SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
43.87% ( -1.45) | 23.14% ( 0.24) | 33% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.48% ( -0.67) | 37.52% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.25% ( -0.73) | 59.75% ( 0.73) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.83) | 17.56% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( -1.47) | 48.12% ( 1.47) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.36) | 22.69% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.66% ( 0.54) | 56.34% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)Other @ 4% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
