This is a really tricky match to call, as Girona have the third-best home record in La Liga this season, but Villarreal have been solid on their travels and are in strong form. We can see the points being shared on Tuesday evening, with Villarreal good enough to avoid defeat against Michel's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
2.41) 
-2.48) 
