SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
21.51% ( 0.23) | 23.82% ( 0.35) | 54.67% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.73% ( -1.19) | 49.26% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.67% ( -1.08) | 71.32% ( 1.07) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.44) | 37.39% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( -0.44) | 74.17% ( 0.43) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( -0.65) | 17.9% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( -1.13) | 48.69% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.51% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.67% |
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