SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
45.76% ( 0.15) | 29.43% ( -0.06) | 24.81% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.12) | 65.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.43% ( 0.08) | 84.57% ( -0.08) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.14) | 29.08% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( 0.17) | 65% ( -0.17) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.26% ( -0.02) | 43.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.09% ( -0.02) | 79.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 15.71% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.81% |
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