Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mierez (45+1', 51', 80')
Guedes (71')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and Osijek.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
| Result |
| Gorica | Draw | Osijek |
19.41% ( -0.73) | 23.6% ( -0.05) | 56.99% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( -0.98) |
| 49.06% ( -0.72) | 50.93% ( 0.71) |
| 27.19% ( -0.63) | 72.8% ( 0.63) |
| 59.46% ( -1.21) | 40.54% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.85% ( -1.11) | 77.14% ( 1.11) |
| 82.33% ( 0.02) | 17.66% ( -0.03) |
