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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
51.44% ( -0.34) | 22.9% ( -0.04) | 25.65% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0.54) | 41.03% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.55) | 63.42% ( -0.55) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( 0.08) | 16.06% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( 0.14) | 45.43% ( -0.14) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( 0.59) | 29.26% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( 0.72) | 65.22% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.65% |
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