Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.23) 
