SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 78.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 7.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
78.5% ( -0.22) | 13.65% ( 0.15) | 7.85% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.52) | 32.87% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.43% ( -0.6) | 54.57% ( 0.61) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.32% ( -0.15) | 6.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.25% ( -0.41) | 24.75% ( 0.42) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.84% ( -0.21) | 47.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.39% ( -0.16) | 82.61% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.53% Total : 78.5% | 1-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.84% Total : 13.65% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 7.85% |
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