SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 3-1 (6.43%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
52.81% ( -0.75) | 21.15% ( 0.22) | 26.03% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 66.22% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.76% ( -0.55) | 32.23% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.16% ( -0.65) | 53.84% ( 0.65) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.47% ( -0.4) | 12.53% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.44% ( -0.85) | 38.55% ( 0.85) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( 0.07) | 24.29% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( 0.1) | 58.67% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.81% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.03% |
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