SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Egypt |
18.04% ( -3.02) | 25.79% ( -1.47) | 56.16% ( 4.48) |
| Both teams to score 40.95% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.58% ( 1.63) | 60.42% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.44% ( 1.22) | 80.55% ( -1.22) |
| Guinea-Bissau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% ( -2.51) | 47.71% ( 2.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.97% ( -1.93) | 83.02% ( 1.92) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.33% ( 2.64) | 21.66% ( -2.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.19% ( 3.89) | 54.8% ( -3.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Egypt |
| 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -1.08) 2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.04% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.65) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.66)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 15.81% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 1.1)1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.98)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.45)0-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.53)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 56.16% |
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