Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.42) 
