SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Malmo |
31.46% ( 0.02) | 22.92% ( 0) | 45.62% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.91% ( -0.01) | 37.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.01) | 59.28% ( 0.02) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0) | 23.35% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( 0) | 57.32% ( -0) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( -0.01) | 16.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( -0.02) | 46.6% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 4.37% Total : 45.62% |
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