SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Melbourne City |
25.14% ( 0.16) | 22.87% ( 0.03) | 51.99% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% ( 0.03) | 41.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% ( 0.04) | 63.73% ( -0.04) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( 0.14) | 29.82% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% ( 0.18) | 65.9% ( -0.18) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.05) | 15.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( -0.1) | 45.27% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-5 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 51.99% |
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