SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
37.09% ( -1.67) | 24.06% ( -0.34) | 38.85% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 1.68) | 41.18% ( -1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 1.69) | 63.57% ( -1.69) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.1) | 22.19% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( -0.15) | 55.6% ( 0.15) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 1.77) | 21.31% ( -1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( 2.66) | 54.26% ( -2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.58)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.85% |
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