SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 61.14%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
61.14% ( -1.09) | 19.24% ( 0.21) | 19.61% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 64.39% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.4) | 30.83% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.81% ( 0.47) | 52.19% ( -0.47) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.13% ( -0.14) | 9.87% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.26% ( -0.34) | 32.73% ( 0.34) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 1.08) | 28.56% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( 1.33) | 64.34% ( -1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.75% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.24% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.61% |
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