SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
22.27% ( 1.01) | 21.77% ( 0.6) | 55.95% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( -1.5) | 39.34% ( 1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -1.58) | 61.68% ( 1.58) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.06) | 31.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.57% ( 0.07) | 67.43% ( -0.07) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0.98) | 13.97% ( 0.98) |
