SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
36.66% ( 0.2) | 26.68% ( 0.07) | 36.65% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.27) | 53.07% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.22) | 74.65% ( 0.23) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.01) | 27.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.46% ( -0.01) | 63.54% ( 0.01) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( -0.28) | 27.93% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( -0.36) | 63.55% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.65% |
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