SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
59.43% ( -0.41) | 21.14% ( 0.17) | 19.43% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.65% ( -0.44) | 40.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.28% ( -0.45) | 62.72% ( 0.45) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( -0.26) | 13.24% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.98% ( -0.52) | 40.01% ( 0.52) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( -0.01) | 34.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.91% ( -0.02) | 71.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.43% |
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