SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Henan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
60.27% ( -1.99) | 22.02% ( 1.01) | 17.71% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( -2.68) | 46.9% ( 2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( -2.55) | 69.15% ( 2.56) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( -1.49) | 15.13% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( -2.9) | 43.7% ( 2.9) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.41) | 40.12% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( -0.37) | 76.76% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.37)4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.39% Total : 60.26% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.01% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.71% |
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